1. “How did my neighbor get into HAMP (and/or get a loan modification) but I can’t?
2. “Do I have to be delinquent to get a workout plan?”

The best answers typically are:

1. The secret Black Box recipe may not mix well with your situation (read more here on this) because your loan may be very different from your neighbor. ex. FHA vs Conventional, Mortgage Insurance vs none, Freddie vs Fannie, 80/20 vs 90/10, etc.
2. You don’t have to be delinquent but the mortgage companies encourage it. (we have this in writing and in audio)

Add to it that most Mortgage Servicers (the ones collecting your payment):

• give borrowers poor advice based upon the banks own lack of understanding as to what is the best components of HAMP and HAFA in which to place your file;
• are motivated to foreclose as they have bought your loan at a deep discount and now want to flip the home for a profit;
• know that they can keep you in an endless loop of faxing and re-faxing while enticing you to send them some more of you hard earned dollars.

Finally, even the Treasury department is coming to the conclusion that the magic of HAMP is failing to perform as desired.

- The Bank Slayer

From HousingWire

Seth Wheeler, senior adviser to the US Treasury Department, said that one of the main goals of the Obama Administration is to fix the mortgage market in the United States, although federally subsidized modifications may not be appropriate for many borrowers.

Speaking at the American Securitization Forum (ASF) 2010 conference in Washington DC, Wheeler said the focus of the Administration is shifting somewhat away from modifications, as getting borrowers into the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) is not always the best solution.

“Short sales, deeds in lieu are other ways to prevent foreclosures to help achieve [housing] stability,” he said. “Modifications are only for a certain subset of distressed homeowners.”

The Administration’s foreclosure alternative program – the Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives program,  or HAFA – will provide incentives to servicers and borrowers that pursue short sales rather than foreclosure. As HousingWire magazine reports ^[1], critics of HAFA say it will dull short sale experts’ competitive edge while other sources warn homeowners will still see short sales as the loss of homeownership.

“They can’t keep their home, but they can avoid foreclosure,” explained Colleen Hernandez, CEO of the Homeownership Preservation Foundation (HPF) – a nonprofit that partners with local governments, borrowers and lenders to facilitate foreclosure alternatives and promote homeownership.

“We are seeing middle class unemployed,” Hernandez said, adding the emerging class of struggling homeowners are unused to financial hardship. “They are slow to apply for benefits, slow to pick up a job that pays less, slow to take up the new world order.” HPF’s services help these borrowers get their arms around total finances as this class tends to be highly indebted with not only credit cards, but also outstanding student loans and car payments. “We help them  prioritize” the wind-down of their obligations, Hernandez added.

“HAMP can not be seen as the only solution,” said Doug Potolsky, a senior vice president at Chase Home Finance. “Chase has aggressive programs that deal with loans that fail HAMP.” Clearly, he said, other solutions are necessary as, in his department, HAMP is not particularly successful. Nearly one-third of Chase HAMP trial modifications result in no repayment, and only 20% ever reach permanent modification status, Potolsky said. “HAMP is not perfect, but improving. I think as a servicer we have to work on building our own [modification] program.” In terms of trying to follow the administrations directive to fix mortgage markets, Potolsky added that option ARM mortgages are particularly challenging to modify.

HAMP servicers completed a total 66,465 permanent modifications through December, according to the latest Treasury report ^[2].

Other panelists at ASF this week feel a heavy reliance on HAMP could even result in a second housing dip. The warning comes after a special inspector on the Treasury’s asset-relief efforts recently warned of a government-induced second housing bubble ^[3]. Another challenge facing the administration, according to ASF director Tom Deutsch, is the 30% of US borrowers that are underwater and facing strategic defaults ^[4]. And this is perhaps the biggest challenge facing the market.

Laurie Goodman, a managing director of Amherst Securities – and a vocal critic of HAMP for its failure to address negative equity ^[5] – responded to Deutsch: “If you have negative equity, you are very, very likely to default.” Goodman added: “Negative equity is the single most driver of defaults.”

Negative equity may be just one of the predictors of borrower mentality leading to strategic default ^[6], an issue HousingWire studies in-depth in the February magazine issue ^[7].

Nancy Mueller Handal, managing director of structured fiance at MetLife, also said at ASF that solving the issue of shadow inventory – homes at danger of default, which Goodman’s team recently estimated to range around 7m units ^[8] – will require a viable non-agency refinancing program in order to prevent the home again reaching default status in two to five years. Under this program, the private market for the mortgage-backed securities (MBS) could re-open, providing need liquidity into the market.

Written by Jacob Gaffney.  Diana Golobay contributed to this report.

As reported by Stephanie Armour in USA Today, the next wave is poised to roll in, potentially undermining housing recovery efforts as more homes add to the glut of inventory and drive down prices.

These homes largely represent loans that are delinquent but have not yet resulted in foreclosure sales.

About 7 million properties are destined to go into foreclosure, according to a September study by Amherst Securities Group, compared with 1.27 million properties in early 2005.

“There is a lot of foreclosed property in the pipeline that will hit the market and depress prices,” says Mark Zandi at Moody’s Economy.com. Foreclosed homes often sell at prices below those on the market and can therefore drag down overall home values.

Jumana Bauwens, a spokeswoman at Bank of America, says the bank is projecting an increase in foreclosures in part because customers will not be qualifying for existing loan-modification programs.

There is often a long lag time between a borrower going delinquent and the bank taking the home. Here’s why:

•Moratoriums. New state laws imposing short-term moratoriums have slowed the timeline from delinquency to foreclosure.

•Overwhelmed lenders. Banks dealing with a surge in refinancing, mortgage modifications and defaults are overwhelmed with demand, so it can take longer to initiate a foreclosure sale.

•Modifications. Many loans now are first examined to see if they might qualify for a modification. This drags out the timeline and means it is taking longer for homes to go into foreclosure.

•Asset write-downs. Banks may in part be waiting to liquidate homes through foreclosure because they don’t want to write down the value of the asset. Lenders can keep homes on the books at a higher value until they are sold at foreclosure.

If you are looking to short sell your home make sure:

1. Your REALTOR and/or Loss Mitigation Company knows exactly how to “sell” your short sale to the bank using: BPOs, appraisals, insurance repair  estimates, letters of declining value, mortgage audits and REO comp matrixes.
2. You leverage State or Federal laws to back your lender/bank into a corner to force their hand and tell you exactly what they will take for your house.
3. If necessary, put your lender/bank over a barrel with a with highly focused lawsuit.

- The Bank Slayer